Understanding Quantum’s Wild West – Hype, Hope, and Humility in a Rapidly Evolving Field

http://Understanding%20Quantum’s%20Wild%20West%20–%20Hype,%20Hope,%20and%20Humility%20in%20a%20Rapidly%20Evolving%20Field

In today’s episode, we’re joined by Sam Kearney, Head of Growth at Haiku, who shares his unconventional journey into the world of quantum technology—proving you don’t need a PhD in physics to make a meaningful impact. Alongside Candice Gillhoolley, we delve into how “careful software for clumsy quantum computers” is helping push the boundaries of what’s possible, discuss the latest on quantum error correction, the intersection of quantum and AI, and the critical roles that curiosity, humility, and diverse backgrounds play in this rapidly evolving field. Whether you’re a quantum insider or simply quantum curious, this episode will spark your imagination about the future of technology and how you can be a part of it.

Links

Time Stamps

00:00 Choosing a job title

05:31 Learning about energy and quantum systems

08:57 Quantum startup boot camp experience

11:35 Focus on quantum error mitigation

15:20 Availability of logical qubits on cloud

19:01 AI and quantum computing convergence

22:07 Targeting top quantum research teams

25:39 Preparing for quantum computing

28:51 Impact of simulations on design

32:21 Exploring careers in quantum tech

34:53 Embracing ignorance in communications

38:51 Networking and reaching out for learning

41:00 Quantum startups and big tech dynamics

45:59 Photonic integration strengths

49:15 Investments in quantum hardware companies

52:13 Concerns about SPACs and investing

53:21 Quantum’s estimate on breaking RSA

Transcript
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It sounds crazy, but your ignorance can be an asset in a way, as long

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as you're humble. So, like, welcome to Impact

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Quantum Podcast.

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Turn it up fast.

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Quantum Podcast, they're breaking the mold. Science has got

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beats and bold. Hello and welcome back to Impact

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Quantum. The podcast we explore the emerging

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field and industry of quantum computing where you don't need to be a

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PhD, you have just need to be a little bit curious. And with me

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on this cold day

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up in Canada, but reasonably warm day here in

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Baltimore, is Candice Hooley, the most quantum curious person I know.

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How's it going, Candace? It's great. And yeah, it's March

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and we're, we're basically expecting an ice storm.

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So, you know, hold on tight. You know, buckle up,

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buttercup. It's March, so you know it. March is

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like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're going to get. You never

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know what you going to get. Absolutely. So today we have

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the pleasure of speaking with Sam Kearney and he is the

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head of growth at Haiku. Hi,

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Sam, how are you today? Hey, happy to be here. Yeah, things are,

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things are going well. Good to see you both. Yeah, it's a

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similarly pretty cold day in Toronto. I guess we're both in Canada

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there and I feel like March gave us a little bit of a teaser of

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summer. So now that people are going to be complacent in the, in the new

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cold. So we'll see how those roads are. But good to be talking to you

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both. Yeah. So tell me, tell me, what

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is, what does head of growth do or chief of growth? Like, what does

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that, what does that mean? And for people who don't work in sales.

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Yeah. Well, I can tell you that that's my, my role is not actually what

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the, the title would typically imply with. Really? Yeah. Within

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a startup. Yeah. So essentially, you know, I was one of the first people who

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joined Haiku and essentially at that point

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it would essentially have probably been considered biz dev or business development at

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that time. But to be frank with you, we weren't trying to make sales. We

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were more looking at partnerships. We were looking at grants at the time. Really. We

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just needed relationships, things along those lines. And you know, head of

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sales or head of BD could potentially have like an abrasive effect, especially when you're

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talking to scientists, you know, people might shut off. So we chose head of growth

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actually for it to be just almost intentionally vague term.

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And the broader sort of starcraft startup ecosystem, there's of course like growth marketing Things

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along those lines. So the title actually likely will change

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but for now it's, it's out of growth. So in my day

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to day it's a lot of dealing with business development tasks. So you know, making

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relationships for the company, pushing things forward on that front, developing

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offerings, you know, communications. It is still a jack of all

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trades. You know, I'll still write the occasional grant or have my hands in any

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cookie jar that is essentially non technical. Everyone else in the team has a

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technical background and then I get to be the glue that matches it

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all together. I think that's the important thing to point out. Right. If you don't,

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you sounds like you don't have a background in physics or

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technology yet you're still able to be, you know, head of growth at a.

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We'll talk about Haiku because it looks like an interesting startup. I like their

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tagline. Was it careful software for. What does it say? Let me load

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it. Careful software for clumsy quantum computers which get into that.

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Clumsy hardware needs. Careful software was the original, original

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tagline there. And yeah, I think that is pretty indicative

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of sort of the, the nature of the, of the market. People would like

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to say maybe less so now, but I still think it rings true.

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And yeah, no, it is a good point. I do not have a quantum background

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in terms of academics. So I've been working in the space for around

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six years now, so quite some time but essentially have

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no, no formal training in. In science

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or even anything technical. So I mean I was my background, my public administration was

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what I studied for my undergrad. Did a Bachelor of Global affairs

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and here I am. So I worked a lot in different technical

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areas during that time but none of it had to do with quantum

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computing. So it's definitely. It is doable. So

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what first pulled you into the world of emerging technologies like

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AI and quantum. Sure, yes. I mean I guess

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part of it ended up being at the beginning with attraction to

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startups. So one of my first jobs out of undergrad was

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working at the incubator at the University of Ottawa and that always appealed to me

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of dealing with entrepreneurs trying to apply technologies.

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And then basically I ended up working. I got more into the policy space

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at my university of Global like the Master of Global affairs in Toronto.

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Essentially with that I was very interested in energy and energy policy, energy

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tech and with that essentially just networked my way into

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an energy tech startup. So essentially that was. I was the first

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employee at that company. It did not go very well. While

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it's. I mean apparently it's still alive and kicking.

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But yeah, that was one experience there but essentially had a lot of

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different experiences I could into regarding technology and tech and

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entrepreneurship. But it was more so from that startup angle rather than from

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me actually picking up the core capacity as far as

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technical understanding. Well, not

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every startup has a happy ending, right? We only hear about the ones that have

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awesome endings. Right? That's definitely true. Yeah.

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Billion dollar plus evaluations and things like that. Those are the ones

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that make the news. I would say that with, with the energy space like that

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was the first time where I had to. It was like building energy systems and

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things like that and getting things sort of. I sort of viewed it as like

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a challenge to learn about it, if that makes sense. And that was kind of

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fun. And then quantum was obviously an even more daunting sort of like, oh, let's

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work in this space where I have no idea anything about it and it's ultra

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technical, so let's see how I could do it. And yeah, it is

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sort of like a, like, oh you don't think I could do it, oh, watch

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me type of thing. That's got sort of a fun attitude that I didn't realize

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I had until the last few years, but absolutely. So

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what helped you personally cross the threshold from

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curiosity to understanding when in

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quantum computing, which can be very intimidating.

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So with quantum computing I had a. I guess

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as far as how I got into the field was through. Through networking. I had

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never met the people there before just reaching out for coffee chats. I graduated

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into Covid, probably had about 100 coffee chats

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with people who I've viewed as doing interesting things. One of those people

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happened to be leading the quantum stream at the Creative Destruction Lab.

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And I'm happy to get into what that organization is, but it's the basically

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the first ever quantum incubator that ever existed for quantum

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startups. It was propounded by Peter Wittick who is a

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renowned. He's no longer with us unfortunately but figure in the

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quantum space. And yeah, essentially I just, just through serendipity and through

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hustling through networking spoke to a guy named Sean oh who was

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working there at the time leading the quantum stream. And essentially at

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the time I was very set on actually working in clean technologies. So I was

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pretty set on that. I happened to have this conversation and he essentially, you

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know, sold me on the idea of, you know, this is the epicenter of

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a brand new technology. There's nothing like it. At the time,

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CDL is the only place for this. You should Reconsider

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should definitely, you know, check this out. And it was very compelling.

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So that was actually the story of how I got into this space. And then

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learning it, learning about it was very intense. The CDL program

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you're speaking to, you know, you're recruiting different quantum companies

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to join. You're surrounded by some of the world's best scientists in

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quantum. So it is sort of a, a very uniquely

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lucky place to be learning about quantum. But it is also like

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you have to get up to speed quickly in order to be useful and

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to survive there. So yeah, I think it was a, I was uniquely

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lucky to be there, but that, that's sort of how it, how it came to

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be. It was actually through a lot of serendipity and well, a lot of, a

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lot of talking to people to make opportunities happen, but serendipity nonetheless.

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Interesting. And CDL is probably

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your, the acronym for Creative Destruction Lab, not Commercial driver's license.

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Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly, exactly. As much as I'd love to get into my,

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my driving certifications, which I'm happy to do, it would be very exciting. But

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yeah, it is a great instruction lab, which is a pretty interesting name for a

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company nonetheless. No, that's an interesting. So, so where was CDL

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based? Was that also in Canada? Yeah, so cdl, it's, it's a global

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organization, but essentially it was based in, it's based in Toronto

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now. It's got I think quantum sites all throughout the

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world or throughout Canada. I'm not sure. I haven't been able to keep totally in

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the loop with them. But should I just maybe introduce what they do or

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talk about what they do? I don't work there now, but I'm happy to talk.

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No, I'd be curious like because I mean it's, it sounds if I had to

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like throw a dart at the wall and make a guess, an educated guess sounds

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like Y combinator, but for quantum companies, yeah,

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it's, it's similar in some ways. So I guess the biggest difference is

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that it's a non profit so they don't take any money from companies

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coming through. Basically the companies that, that come

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through just pay by giving their time. And there's another difference

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which is that there was a boot camp. This doesn't exist anymore, but there was

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a boot camp where essentially you would just take individuals from around the world

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and put them in this boot camp and you give them training from

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successful entrepreneurs, from renowned scientists. So we had the

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former COO of Google Quantum AI, we had John Martinez at the time.

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So big hitters in the quantum space who would be giving them modules

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on both quantum science and on starting a company. And then we'd actually

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put them in teams, we'd get them on challenges and they would form companies in

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that boot camp. Oh wow. So that was like brand. It was basically like a

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small little petri dish where we try to encourage quantum companies

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starting. And that's actually where Haiku was formed was in, in that boot

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camp. After the boot camp, there's sort of like this like

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every two months there's. They meet with mentors who are scientists,

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entrepreneurs, people from industry and they get just like feedback on their challenge.

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They help them to set objectives. And around a third of all companies

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actually graduate the program. So most, most companies get cut.

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So every, every couple, couple months, if no mentor raises

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their hand, your company's just, just gone from the program. The last thing

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I'll say is maybe 20% of all quantum companies have either come through or

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partner with cdl. From when I was last there, I don't know if that status

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changed, but people don't hear much about them because they're a nonprofit

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with very little money. But they've. They. Most of the CEOs in this

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space know about it, but it's sort of more on the down low, I guess.

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Interesting, interesting.

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So I'm assuming the, the

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messy quantum computers is a reference to error correction.

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Yeah. So I guess like for, for listeners who aren't too, too

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clear, I will make one slight correction even though it might not be the

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most interesting to the, to the, to listeners. But there's sort of this

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idea of quantum computers right now have a lot of errors or they, they have

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more errors than, than classical computers as your listeners may know

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when we say error correction. So there's a lot of ways to deal with error

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errors. Error correction is often more, at

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least in my view, referred to in terms of error correcting codes.

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So more so for using multiple qubits to catch the errors

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and identify them and be able to correct them on the fly.

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So we think of like fault tolerant perfect computers of the future. That's

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typically with, with error correction. So what Haiku is more focused

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on in the near term are things like error mitigation. So you know, pre and

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post processing segments, optimization of

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circuits or compressing them, data loading, basically anything that you'd

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need to be able to run on current devices and devices

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as they grow. We try. That's, that's sort of what the

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impetus is. So when the founders were beginning the

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Company, they essentially were trying to build applications originally in the

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boot camp, as a lot of other companies were. So they were trying to look

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at finance optimization or pharmaceutical

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drug design, and they try to implement an algorithm

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they built on real hardware and you immediately just run into

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bottlenecks of noise or your circuits are too deep or whatever it may be.

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And they were like, let's just try to figure out the actual sort of underlying

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bottlenecks of running things on quantum and just do the quantum part and let other

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people use those tools. So that's sort of the idea

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there. I did also see many companies coming through cdl, so

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I probably spoke to literally every single company that existed in

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Quantum for those three years at cdl. And this

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is also quantum information, so there's also communications and sensing as well, but

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every computing company as well, regardless. And there were a

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lot of companies building like application specific. You know, we're going

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to build algorithms for logistics or algorithms for drug design.

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And many of those companies died or they just, they just

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swapped to classical. And I think part of the reason why is they were

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so focused on that high level stuff and they weren't really focused on like the

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actual nitty gritty. And there wasn't a tool set for them to like implement things

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as good as they can on, on, on hardware, which is very

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fraught with errors. And there's not that many qubits. So it is

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hence the tagline and, and hence the company. So

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interesting.

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Sorry, Candace, it looked like you were gonna ask a question, so. No, no, I'm,

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I'm trying to think like I know that there's like a race going on, you

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know, to figure out quantum error

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correction. And I wonder like,

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what we should be looking for to

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see like, what kind of

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breakthroughs, like, could we be looking,

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looking for as, as, you know, as this race towards,

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you know, quantum error correction continues.

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So as far as like, do you mean like, so do you mean like breakthroughs

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in order to be able to sort of achieve a false tolerance?

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Yeah, so on, on that front, I mean, the, the codes have been getting

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better and better regarding that. So. And by that I mean like

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the, the ratio of. So basically for

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every logical qubit you have, that's not just one qubit, that's a series of

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qubits in a. You can think of them in like a little

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array. And I'm not the most technical guy, so please forgive me if this is,

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you know, slightly inaccurate, but it should help to get the idea across.

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So you have a system of qubits and they're all working together. So if there's

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an error on one, they kind of talk to each other. You get the signals

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from all of these different qubits in order to tell if an operation is correct

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or not from the qubit you're trying to protect. You can imagine it's like an

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army protecting one qubit, which is your logical qubit.

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And essentially that ratio has been getting better and better. So essentially the

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ratio of physical qubits or the non logical qubits that it

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takes to support that error corrected one is getting smaller

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and smaller. So companies are being able to push that forward. It used

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to be within the thousands. I forget the exact number of people have reduced it

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to now, but I believe it's under 100 in some cases. So that

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is a sign of increasing proximity

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for me. Probably the most exciting signal that I'm looking for

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is whether logical qubits are even available on

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the cloud readily for people to use. I mean, we're not

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even there yet. So I would say that to me, is one that

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as someone who is constantly trying the different

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computers and devices, I'm very excited at least to

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see logical qubits that are readily available for people

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to experiment with. That would be one for me.

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But, yeah, I guess it is interesting seeing these companies reducing

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the thresholds that they need and then also looking at

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RSA encryption, encryption, for instance, which is a long way away. And by that I

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mean the encryption that we all use, people always use it as a benchmark

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of how many qubits do we need before we can crack that encryption. We're still

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very, very far away. But you see those estimates getting lower and lower.

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Y2Q. Yes, Y2Q. Yeah, exactly,

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exactly. And again, far away is a relative term. Right. Originally,

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lucky. Now there's some people saying late

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yeah, it's a moving target. Right. That. Why too. But the

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short of it is you got to get ready. You have to get ready regardless.

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Right. I'd be very, very, extremely surprised. Like,

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I don't know if Poly Market has a betting tool for this or if I.

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Oh, they totally should. Yeah. If I could be gambling on this, I. I will.

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I will ruin my life financially on this bad. You know, or, or

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make it. But I don't think that we're going to be breaking RSA before

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2030. I'd be very, very surprised if we reach that scale.

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I also think there's two Y2Q dates. Right? There's the Y.

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It's not like Y2K. When it was a fixed calendar date, you knew it was

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going to happen. Right. And it was very public. I think there's going to be

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at least two Y2K Y2Q dates. Right. The one

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that we know about publicly and the one that whatever nation

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state does it first. Okay. They're going to keep their

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mouth shut. Right. Like, so I would imagine,

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I would imagine. And there might be even multiple Y2Q dates. Right. Like, you know,

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us may have it one day, China may get it another and you know, a

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third country or whatever could, could pull it off. I don't know.

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Like, I just think that when it does happen, we may not

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know until decades later. And I know that sounds conspiratorial, but there's

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actually proof of this. The whole. There was a

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documentary, it's also on YouTube, but it was basically the Diffie Hillman

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exchange. I think in a previous episode we kind of geeked

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out on that. But basically it's basically the foundation of

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public private key. Right. Encryption. And

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it turns out that somebody at

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British Intelligence had worked it out about

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five years before Diffie and Hellman did, and we

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So. Wow. Yeah, there's definitely, I mean, there's probably research going on that we're not

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aware of. So I wouldn't. I certainly hope so.

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Yeah. Given the amount of money spent in taxes on this around the

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world, I certainly hope that this is going to. Something. Air

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quotes. Useful. Yeah, I wouldn't, I wouldn't be surprised if things start being.

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Being useful before we hear about it in a sort of military or like

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intelligence sense. I mean, people are already gathering data, doing prep

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later, that's for sure. So, yeah, don't think that's out of the question

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at all. You know, people

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often talk about AI and quantum as separate revolutions.

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Do you see them as parallel tracks or do you see them

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as eventually converging? I

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think eventually they will converge.

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I think that for now you have a lot more of using

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AI for quantum purposes. So, you know, trying

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to use AI to detect and deal with errors or,

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you know, using AI to speed up quantum research workflows

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or to optimize circuits. Things along those lines are like,

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we're looking at how do we integrate, you know, our platform to be like

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easily accessible by AI or so people can figure out how to build an

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algorithm and run it, run it better through us so that's all,

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you know, relevant. I suppose there are ways that quantum

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computers can benefit AI,

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but I'd say that those are for the most part a bit farther out

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in terms of like when we'd actually be able to, to, to use them

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for, for those purposes, for those reasons. But

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those there are, they are available nonetheless. And I'm going to be honest though, it's

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not an area that I'm the most, I don't have the most expertise in. So

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I'd be, I'd be driving us both off a cliff if I, if I

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tried to give a lot of insights into Quantum for AI,

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to be honest with you. I mean, we're interested in qml, so quantum machine learning

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is definitely of interest to me and our team. So

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essentially with that we do think that quantum machine

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learning has potential both in the near term and the long term. And

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essentially the reason for that is because it can deal with small data sets

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so problems that don't have a huge

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abundance of data to deal with. So you know, for instance, if you think of

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like financial fraud, there's only going to be a couple fraud cases in a data

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set. There's a lot of variables that go into that of like what you're looking

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for. And so classical models struggle with that. Another

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example that would be relevant would be like anomaly detection for

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geology. So people are, I was meeting this company called

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Humanex, shout out to Humanex. But they do, they do basically a

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bunch of land analysis and essentially

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they can identify which areas are the most

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likely to have a deposit before they look for minerals. And with that,

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if you're looking at data sets you're training on, there's not really that many, there's

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not many anomalies. They're called anomalies for a reason. And with quantum

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you can get basically more information, more features out

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of a limited data set. So that to me is very interesting

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and I guess that would exactly be an intersection of AI and quantum.

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It's also one that's a little bit, I guess there's some

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there, there at least was historically some controversy over QML as to

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whether it would have advantage. But we think some of the empirical results have been

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coming out, have been quite promising. And yeah, we're pushing forward on that for

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sure. But that's, that's, that's an area that I do think is, is quite

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interesting

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when you're looking to find partners in, know,

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in this role of growth. Do you come across

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a common misconception that that is,

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that's going on Right now for quantum computing,

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I guess, let's see as far as,

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I guess with the people who I'm dealing with for the most part, like we're,

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we're really looking for, at least to begin with the

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most advanced quantum teams who are pushing forward the hardest. So

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like what we're, we're not like just trying to get people who've never

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heard about quantum onto a platform to learn about it. It's mostly

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for like we're at this point we're trying to get the like elite

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in the research side onto what we do. So I would

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say that like there's not that many big misconceptions that I encounter from like

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the people we're trying to target right now, but when I teach, speak to people

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at conferences and things like that and just in general like the much broader

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public. Absolutely, definitely see a lot of misconceptions. I think

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one that I would say is that yes, the space is advancing

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rapidly but I think just because of the nature of some of the pr,

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some of the tones that people are taking, everyone's claiming

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advantage or you know, claiming maybe more than they've achieved

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with some of their results, that it's easy for these people

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to think that we're already at phase of quantum advantage. We

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already have fault tolerant computers because people are talking about logical

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demonstrations etc. And so I think for, for people who are newer, it's, it's

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very easy to think that we're much more advanced than we are. For someone entering

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the space right now, I think it's, you know, I see some people thinking that

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it's already, Quantum computers are already being used in production

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all the time and that's just not the case. You know, you might be able

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to make the case for an annealing company like D Wave or something like that,

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but for the most part I would say that's, that's just a misconception.

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Some people do fall for the hype of course, and I can't blame them. I

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mean like, you know, they're, they're trying to learn about a space. Maybe they only

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spend a day scrolling on LinkedIn or something and then they can come out with

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that conclusion. And yeah, so I think that's, that's definitely

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a misconception. I think that that exists. Some people think we're much

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more advanced and then also if you look at some of the roadmaps

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and how they've, they've basically shifted back over time,

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I think there's reason to believe that it will not speed up as quickly

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as people might anticipate. So, for instance, if you look like when I joined this

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industry, the roadmaps of some companies who I won't name, but some

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we are. Do we have million qubits? No. So

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there's been a lot of promises and a lot of shifting roadmaps that have happened

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over time and I'd love to have. So we're just trying to deal with

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essentially whatever hardware is actually available, what do they actually deliver.

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But it's very easy for people to read these roadmaps and then they believe them

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because they have, they don't know the historical context. And you know, I don't want

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to say that none of these roadmaps are correct, but I'm just saying, well, one

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of them will be. One of them will be. One of them will hopefully be

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correct. And I'm just saying there should be more than a

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couple grains of salt when people read these. Well, I think it's also fair

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too. Right. LinkedIn. I love LinkedIn. Right. But it is a hype

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vortex. Right. And that's only going to. It's gotten worse actually. But like,

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so you can't, if you, if you look at LinkedIn and

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you see that as your ground truth, reality, you have bigger problems.

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Yeah, yeah, that's true. Yeah. If I wake up and I ground

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myself with LinkedIn, I'm gonna be, I'm gonna be floating

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in the clouds or something. But

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absolutely.

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Any questions? I'm thinking about what should enterprise leaders

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be doing today to prepare for a quantum

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future? Yeah, I mean, if I was an enterprise

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leader looking for quantum future, I mean, I would be looking at

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my, I would try to be, trying to get quantum ready in terms of like

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just understanding where quantum could be applied within my, my company,

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then I'd start building, you know, algorithms for those and looking at which are the

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most promising and then just try to start scaling them up and being

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on the edge of what performance can be. I think that it's a

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dangerous trap to potentially if you just try to focus for

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future perfect devices and not actually implement anything on the

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real hardware. So some companies, for instance, will look and they'll say, okay,

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we're just going to build algorithms for once. We have a million qubits

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and we're not going to actually run anything before then. And in my opinion, there's

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a danger there of missing any value before we get to those scale of

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devices. And you know that that could be a longer Time than

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maybe some of these enterprise leaders have considered or understand.

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So my. Yeah, basically getting started on analyzing and then getting

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started on actually building and implementing to be on the frontier of performance.

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And then that way hopefully you can have, you know, your, your ability to be

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at advantage or close to advantage with, with your peers rather

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than trying to do catch up, which might take you more time to, than you

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think. So that would be my angle for, for most of them.

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Obviously if you're a banker, you're something that has a lot of encryption requirements.

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Start doing the transition to being quantum secure now rather than later.

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But that's sort of a whole other can of worms that I don't actually deal

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with anymore. Thank God. I, I don't really like to. I was, I,

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for some reason with you, like I just can't, I can't find quantum security

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interesting. I don't think I ever will. I, you know, it's, it's obviously hugely important,

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but I just can't do it. I don't, I don't know why. When I was

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at creative Destruction lab, yeah, I mean I'd be dealing with

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those, you know, that sort of stuff in the creative instruction labs is one of

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the buckets. And it's like, yeah, it's, I don't know, it's just, it doesn't get

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me going. So it's, but it is something that people should be thinking about.

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What real world applications of quantum computing excite

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you the most? Energy, medicine,

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logistics, material science.

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I'd say I'm too focused on the near term.

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I'll try to think in more of the, the ultra long term. But I

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guess to me the idea of novel materials is probably

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one of the most interesting ones. And I guess the reason for that is that

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like if you look at the world around you, you know, just the fact that

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people might not even notice it's from quantum computers. But if there's just better

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materials, if there's malleable materials that can, that can have different shapes, if

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there's know just everything in the world being better at its core

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or you know, being more flexible at its core, you know, different capabilities

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of materials, it's something that will be subtle in a

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way and influence the rest of technology and society as a whole. So it's,

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I think that to me is a very fundamental and interesting

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potential for quantum computers. Like if we could have better

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conductors or if we can have, you know, materials that

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can, can revert to different shapes more easily, um, all of those

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could just have very fundamental like impacts on, on the world around us.

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And I think that would be hugely interesting. Um, I think it's just for me

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it's when it comes to like impacting the, the physical world, that's always

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where it becomes more interesting. Like looking at even like

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computational fluid dynamic simulations. So the idea that

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when like we'll just be able to have way quicker

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iterations of any physical product. So it's like instead of having to build

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a huge wind tunnel to test a plane or to test a device or

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whatever it may be, you could just simulate that and have

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a, have a, your prototype a time that an

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aerospace or a car company or a product company can go from

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having the design to implementing can just be massively

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reduced. And so I would hope, you know, say, you know,

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hopefully they don't just build worse products quicker, which

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sometimes maybe the profit motive might incentivize them to do.

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But in a more ideal or with some companies who have a better mindset,

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it could mean that they just have drastically better designs and be able to maybe

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be more creative with their designs of any products that we have in our lives.

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So that to me is quite interesting. There's also

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other angles that are more ideal, like more interesting from like a

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morals perspective I think. But from just pure what gets

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me excited, I think those are probably them.

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So if quantum computers can accurately model molecular

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interactions, which industries would benefit from that? First?

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Energy storage, Pharmaceuticals,

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Advanced manufacturing, Something else.

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I'm actually, I'm not 100% sure which would be the first. I think that

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I guess the one that I would imagine,

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I'm not sure which one would be absolutely first probably like probably

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materials discovery just because there's less, less regulations involved. I think that

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that might be one that is, is easier to more of a low hanging fruit

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and just like you might get basically bottleneck by

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red tape in the pharmaceutical industry. So I'm not sure that that would necessarily

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be as useful. But to be frank with you, I'm not exactly sure which one

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I would put my money on as far as which one would get it first.

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Yeah, that's fair,

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Frank. No, I'm just thinking like it's, it's an

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interesting time to be in this and the fact that you come from, I think

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getting back to the inspirational point of this podcast was

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it's amazing because you don't have a background in this, but yet you do

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talk very eloquently about the technology. Right. So kudos to you for that. But

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like, I mean I think it's encouraging for folks that are

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not in this field who may feel intimidated by the physicists, the

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PhDs and things like that. To realize like this is going to require a

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village, right? Like you don't like quantum, you don't like the quantum security part of

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the story, right? But

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clearly there are those that do, right? Like so it's, it's an interesting.

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So I would encourage, I mean I, I mean I always encourage people to just

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look around and see what sparks their curiosity. Right. Maybe it's the quantum

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security thing, maybe it's business development, maybe it's, you know,

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you know, going around in this space. But I think it's an interesting, it's an

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issue. I think it's one of those few pivots in time when

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this is really going to upend a lot of

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industries. It's probably going to be

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a greater disruption than AI. I would say it's probably going to be on par

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with the transistor in the 50s and 60s.

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Yeah, I would encourage anybody as well to not be limited just by

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quantum computing. And when they're looking at a quantum information technology like sensing is

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also extremely interesting, like replacing gps,

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you know, having it basically just allows for a lot more independent

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navigation. So there's a lot of different angles that people can go to explore.

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And yeah, I definitely do think that if people are interested, they

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shouldn't necessarily feel they have to have, you know, a physics

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degree or they have to be have a PhD. Every

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company is going to need, are going to need people who don't have those

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backgrounds and it's unrealistic for these companies to expect people to have those

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backgrounds. Like we're looking for a marketer, are we going to find a marketer that

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has a quantum computing background? Maybe, if we're extremely lucky. And

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I've been hit by lightning three times in the last year and I'm like doing

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rituals outside to try and get better luck or whatever. No,

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the reality is you're going to need to bring on people onto the team who

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have other skill sets, you know, not just quantum and thank God you're gonna need

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that. You know, people who are going to be organizing things, who are going to

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be talking to people who are all, etc. So definitely I think people

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shouldn't be totally off put. People should have, you know, if

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it's interesting to you and it's compelling, then you know, learn enough to be conversational.

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That's, that's an achievable goal is like learning enough to speak about it at a

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high to like mid level, you know, even Just a high level to start,

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of course, that people shouldn't be totally off put by how

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like understandably daunting this field is. I mean, not

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only is it computer science is the intersection of that with

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probably the hardest area of physics. So yeah, I

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understand why it's intimidating, but it's doable. Well, one

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of the things that, that really helped us when we, when we kind of relaunched

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the show is somebody said the, you know, the quantum computing industry already has

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enough PhDs, right. And like, and he

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had, I think he had a PhD, so he was, you know, you know, a

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little self deprecating, but he's right. Right. You know, you, if you look at, you

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look at Apple, right? I think everybody around the world recognizes Apple, right? You had

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a was and you had a Steve Jobs, right. You know, you kind of need

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the yin and the yang, so to speak. Right. And I don't

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know if kids today even know who was is, but that would make me sad.

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But basically, if you think about Apple, Apple really had, you

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know, two primary co founders, right. Steve Jobs, I think everyone knows,

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but there was also Steve Wozniak who basically was the type of guy who could

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solder up stuff like in his garage and things like that. Like, he

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was, he was the brain behind the other brain.

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Yeah, absolutely. And I'd say there's definitely, there's room for a lot of that within,

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within Quantum. And the other thing is that like this sounds crazy, but your

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ignorance can be an asset in a way as long as you're humble. So. So

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like, I think that one thing that is very, very useful

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is when you're starting and you don't understand things and then especially in the area

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of communications. So say you're, you're at a, especially if you're at a newer company.

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But if you're, if you're looking at what you're actually putting out to the world

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or how you're communicating about things, when you don't understand something and you've

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been actually spending a couple months looking into this space, no one else

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will. So you're a perfect litmus test. You're per litmus. We're your perfect test

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for your company's communications. It's like, oh, I don't know what that means. Well,

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unless you're trying to target explicitly quantum engineers, then,

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yeah, they should probably change that to something that more people will understand

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or have a version of that communication that people will. And it's very

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easy for a team full of PhDs to be like, yeah, of course I

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understand. Yeah. The decoherence time obviously affects,

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you know, how the entanglement rate or whatever it may be. You know, it's like

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maybe you need to dumb it down a little bit so that the, the managers

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above those quantum engineers can understand it or just people in general. So

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there's definitely an asset to that sort of like that fresh eyes, that fresh

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perspective. And so I think that people shouldn't undersell the

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value of that. And there's really is a dearth of

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people who have any understanding of quantum and then have other

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skill sets. Like if you could be for instance, having a marketing background and you

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spend a year, you spend a few, you know, whatever time at a time

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becoming literate on this topic, you're an asset in this space. So

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definitely I think there's a lot of areas for people to be,

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you know, successful and it's still early days, so there's a lot of,

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it's a bit of a wild west. So you could make big moves here. There's

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a lot of opportunities for people who can act as translators and kind of ambassadors

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between these different worlds. Absolutely. Yeah. I

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don't. And like you just have to be curious. Right? That's, that's the reason why

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we changed the tagline, you know, for season three and four. So

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yeah, be curious and then be able be, be

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humble enough to ask dumb questions and not to be afraid of that. If you

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have those two traits then I think you're, you're set for success. It

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handles in with, with curiosity but you know, just the ability to be able

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to clarify, ask questions. If you don't understand,

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push forward, don't nod your head. If you nod your head without understanding,

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you've, you're. That's a, that's a dangerous slippery slope to, to

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become a fool in this space. So it's always better to be like hey wait,

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I actually don't, don't understand that part. Like be. Just. Just

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admit it. Just, just learn. Learn on the spot. Because otherwise you mentioned it twice

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and I think it's worth pointing out humility is, is an underappreciated

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aspect. Right. You know,

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Satya Nadella now he certainly has a lot of

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I, when I worked in Microsoft and he transitioned from

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bomber to him, he did have say he wanted to shift it from a

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know it all culture to a learn it all culture. And he talked about humility

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and is really the first step in learning and things like that. Now what's happened

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10 plus years since you know, was. But you know, he started off in a

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good place. But no, I

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mean he's right. Like you, you have to adapt a learn it all

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mindset, right. And all the things that you're talking about, like you have to kind

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of. I don't like the phrase, but I'll use it dumb it down. Right. You

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do have to water it down. Right? For non

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mathematically minded people and physics minded people. This is the same

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conversations people were having about 10, 11 years ago in AI

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or data science as it was, or machine learning depending on which year it

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was. It was called that. Right now it's just kind of now

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everybody and their cousin and their cousin's dog now is an expert and

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has a startup in the works. Right.

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So I think Quantum will probably follow a

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similar trajectory. So, and you said it best like

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now's the time to make big moves. 100. So yeah, I think if you've

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got listeners who are curious, then like keep fostering that is just to,

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you know, start talking to people as well. Like I'm always impressed when there's some

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people who will just like reach out for a coffee chat to learn. People

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are often like, you know, it's a numbers game, but people are often pretty receptive

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to that. Just if you, if you're genuinely just coming at it from a place

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of learning, like huge networking fans, that's where I've gotten all of my

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roles. I always encourage people to do it. But you can also just learn from

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people rather than just like going blind to the industry. And a lot of

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the roles that you might be applying for aren't necessarily the only

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thing that a company might hire for. If you're talking to a company, they know

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you're competent, then they're like, oh, I need this function and this person, I remember

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who I had a chat with a while ago and they actually seem like they

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might be a good fit. Like that happens too where they don't necessarily have everything

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posted on LinkedIn. Like you might be able to just be on their minds when

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they need somebody so strongly. If I have one message as well, it would be

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that for whoever's listening, yeah, the stealth job market is way bigger

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than I think people realize.

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So what role do you think startups will play compared to

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big tech companies in Quantum development?

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Compared to big tech companies. So

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I'm just trying to think of this. I mean I think

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a lot of the startups will

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enable the big tech companies as well as

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enable the non tech companies.

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What I mean by that is this. So when you look at

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and you know, maybe this won't be the case. But with quantum hardware,

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a lot of companies are building tools that would go into IBM or

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they would go into a Google device. Whether that model will work, time

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will tell. But I think that is one angle there. And also

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as far as like helping other companies, so looking at like

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non tech companies, and by that I mean like chemistry companies that have a

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quantum team or they're looking into to explore or

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you know, name a vertical, name an industry, those companies

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aren't going to be necessarily helped by huge corporates. And

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unless like maybe it's like certain, certain ones might like IBM, but for the most

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part companies aren't doing that work with, with, with their peers to

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help them get quantum ready, help them push forward, help them prototype, et

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cetera. And you see quantum startups, I mean, Haiku is one, but there's also people

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who are doing quantum chemistry for pharmaceuticals or quantum chemistry

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for quantum logistics. And they'll

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be very eager to do these POCs and get these companies ready.

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And so I think they're going to be a lot more active, I think

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in preparing the ecosystem and advancing it.

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Whereas the big companies like Google, aws, et

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cetera, I view them as, yeah, they are doing these

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projects as well and it's sort of in tandem with startups,

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but they're also more so just providing like the core that people,

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people are going to have to use like the, the hardware, the, the middleware, etc.

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That said though, I mean like we'll see who wins. Like the quantum race is

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not set in stone. I mean no one thought neutral

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atom computers were going to be in the, in the, in the conversation. Up until

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a few years ago they were a real dark horse like that and now they

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have many, many qubits. They, they've sort of, they're one of the most

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promising architectures. Their speed I won't get into.

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But it's not exactly, not exactly fast as every, every

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architecture has their downsides. But the point is, is that no one knows who's going

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to actually win or what segments they're going to win. And you know, whether I'd

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call them big tech companies, I'd say now they're still startups, they're still scale ups.

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So they might be providing some of that infrastructure layer or that

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core piece that people have to use. So the role of the big tech companies,

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I'm not sure. Yeah, I could get into it sort of depends on the

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big tech company as well. You know, Nvidia is doing some quite different things than

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IBM when it Comes to IR and other things. So it's a bit

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of a rabbit hole, but hopefully. No, that is a massive rabbit hole. And

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you know, I remember for a while, you know,

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topological qubits was thought of as impossible and then Microsoft

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put a lot of weight behind it. Then they found out it was maybe harder

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than they thought and then they kind of went silent

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talking about it for a while and then they had a breakthrough. Right. Like, so

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it's like, I mean, it's, it's a shifting sand. And I would recommend someone

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who's coming into to the space unless they have

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to be as agnostic as you can about the underlying hardware

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infrastructure, because that's going to change unless you have a background in physics,

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engineering, et cetera, et cetera. Right. If you're, if you're, if you're like a

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PhD level researcher and you're doing stuff in photonics, I would

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stay there. Yeah, stay, stay there for your job. But then it is always

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funny, like I'd also encourage anybody entering this space, like if you

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hear, if you're hearing someone's opinion on architectures and they have a background in

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that architecture, that person is the most biased person you can talk to about

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this. Oh, of course, yeah. Photonics is the only architecture that could

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win. Did I happen to study it for 20 years? Yes. Okay,

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well, you might be a little biased. There might be some cost of that. So

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it's always important to check someone's background when you hear what they're talking about and

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then definitely, as you say, weigh all the architectures

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differently, but make sure you have like a bird's eye view of them.

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I don't think that necessarily will be. One architecture wins all. I'm sure

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this has been maybe talked about on the podcast before, but I could easily see

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there being the case where it's segmented in value in terms of speed

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and accuracy, because all of these different architectures have just

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different benefits and different cons. Yeah, I think it's too soon to

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say how that's going to shake out. Right. I happen to think that

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Photonics will probably win the day. Honestly. What I think the platform

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that will ultimately win the day is the one that's going to work best at

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room temperature. Right. I think because if you think

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about, I was talking to somebody about this the other day and was talking about

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actually another Canadian startup, is it Tallis. They basically

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have a chip that you can run LLMs on the chip and it's something like

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per second. It's really good, it's really fast. This can

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theoretically get 17,000 tokens per minute right now. Is that going to

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be the best architecture going forward? Well, I don't know.

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But you know, and we were talking about this with a co worker

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about this and how that relates to hardware and hardware is kind of like a.

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Hardware doesn't change as quickly as software. That's why it's called hardware and software

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to begin with. But you know,

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x86 was never the, was never the

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fastest horse, you know, on, on the,

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on the track, but it was the most reliable and cross

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domain kind of working. So it kind of became the de facto standards up,

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you know, last couple years. So that's kind of what I'm saying. It's a

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roundabout way of saying that one of these platforms will probably win.

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Is it going to be the best? I think that's

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subjective, but I think that, I think the, the, the thing

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that everyone always mentions when you talk about quantum computing after error

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correction is the logistics around keeping it at, you know, one or two

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kelvins. Yeah, I would say there's the, there's that angle. I think

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photonic has, you know, good. They definitely have like easy integration

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as a big strength, you know, being able to integrate within

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the regular cable systems that we have at the moment and

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be able to just easily be adopted for sure.

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I guess what I more so meant is like even if that is the case,

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like let's say even if photonic architectures do win out on that

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majority share. What I more so mean is there could be cases where

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you want say a slower device, even if it doesn't have this

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integration, you call it over the cloud and it might be for,

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you know, something where you just need the greater accuracy but less

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shots. And so maybe you go for a trapped ion device or a neutral

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Atom device, etc. So I think that that's, I mean just sort of a

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segmentation of value even if, you know, there's. Yeah, I do actually.

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That's a good point though where the, the infrastructure

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ameliorability is probably just like probably a

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big factor for what we take the lion stake. And again

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don't accept that as the ground truth. Right. Because my background is

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ops and servers and things like that. Right. So I'm looking at it from that

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point of view. Right. Somebody's going to have to rack and stack this stuff,

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right? No, yeah, it's a valid perspective, definitely.

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Some companies have to, in order to be compatible with some of that infrastructure

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they have to go through processes that incur loss. Right. So

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they've got to basically translate that information through transducers that, you

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know, translated from, from different physical processes to be able

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to actually integrate to, to what we, what we use to communicate. So for

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quantum Internet or for, you know, large

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quantum communication networks, that becomes incredibly important and

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there's loss at every time they have to translate. So if it's like something like

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photonic where it can just natively integrate, then you don't have that loss.

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So yeah, definitely. Huge factor and, and should be,

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should be considered widely. Yeah, but, but also too like this is kind of

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worrying about overpopulation on Mars. Like it might be a problem

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one day. Okay. Yeah, I think this is, this is, this is

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a Y2Q 10 a decade or two out of

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the thing to really worry about. Yeah, yeah, yeah, it is, it is

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true. But it, I guess it would be for, for me and you right

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now probably. It is one of those questions. I guess it's more of a

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important question for a very select handful of people. And those people

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are the people who will be in sovereign wealth funds or got big

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governments and they're deciding which ones to fund. And then it's like they have that

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20 year timeline. For myself, sort

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of irrelevant at this point, but. Yeah, exactly. Yeah, but I think

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like maybe, maybe there's methods of. The madness of why Microsoft doubled down on

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topological qubits. Maybe they're thinking about how do we drop this into

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our existing data center footprint and things like that. That would be my,

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that would be my intuition. Is that it seem, it seems like an odd choice

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to double down on. Right? Yeah, but they, they

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doubled and tripled down on that. So I can imagine that

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there's always, there's always some kind of ulterior motive that they may not be sharing.

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Right. Whether that's ulterior motive has a

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negative connotation, but like not necessarily a negative

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connotation. Yeah, no, no, it's, it's true. But I'd also be curious.

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I mean some of these companies are simultaneously investing in other quantum

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hardware companies and you know, is that, is that a hedge?

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Like how do you read that? I'm not sure exactly how I read that, but

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I view it as a bit of maybe a hedging strategy or

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I'm not sure exactly how that works. I guess if they don't win the hardware

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race, but they have people using their cloud like for instance, so

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Microsoft, for those who don't know, they invested heavily in companies Like

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Photonic, which. Not a photonics company, just to be clear.

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They do spin qubits on silicon, but they, the name is

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confusing, but they're good and they're Canadian. Maybe when they registered the

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corporation and the domain names, they were in photonics and then they

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switched. I forget the tie, some

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photonic twist or some photonic angle. But regardless, Microsoft's

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invested in them. They have them available, I believe, or they

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will. And essentially it's interesting where they've done that and they've got atom computing on

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their platform, et cetera, and these others. And so it is interesting to

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see these big massive players who are themselves building quantum

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hardware, who are then in turn supporting what you could call their

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competitors. So I think that might be a symbol, you know, an indication

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of hedging. It could also be an indication of that value split that I was

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talking about. Like, maybe they don't believe that if some of these architectures went out,

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then they would actually replace the value from, say, a topological qubit system.

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So, yeah, it's an interesting dynamic to see play out. No, I think you're

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right. I think it's too soon to pick a winner with all these

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developments that are happening. It's incredibly exciting. But what has

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been the most meaningful or surprising to you?

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What has been the most meaningful or surprising as far as developments go? Let

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me. I haven't

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been super surprised by, by like that much. Like, it's like, it's always interesting to

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see. It's always like, exciting to see.

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Yeah, I don't know. There's not really, not really much, to be honest with you.

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I guess, like the, I'm surprised by the amount of, of

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SPACs that are going on and the amount of like, companies that are going public

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with, you know, questionable foundations

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for that. Like, that's sort of like. I mean, that, that to me is surprising.

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So you mentioned spac. Sorry? You mentioned spac. I want to, I want to.

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So I think I understand what that is, but it's a special

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purpose acquisition corporation. Like that.

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Exactly. Yeah, I believe so. And it's basically a

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way for companies that are not really, quote, unquote,

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really ready to go public can kind of like sneak in through a loophole in

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the law and become public way sooner than they probably should. I

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think Roblox is probably the most famous one to date. At

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least I have kids, so Roblox is part of our life.

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But I'm sorry I cut you off, but no,

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like when you say that they have a questionable technical foundation, it

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all seems A is very Wild west, right. So be careful out there if you're

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looking to actually put real money into this. Right. Like it's. Yeah, I would definitely,

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I would definitely be. Be careful. I mean, and you know,

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I more so mean just like they didn't, you know, a lot of these companies

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don't actually have sales. We don't know if their technology will work, you know, at

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scale. And somehow they're, they're all going, going public. And

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I think it's, you know, it's, it's easier I guess, to, to get people who

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are interested in Quantum in the public to put in money than sometimes than to

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convince, you know, sovereign wealth funds or venture capital firms

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to invest at that scale. So I think I understand some of the need, but

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that to me has been one of the more surprising elements that I didn't necessarily

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think would still be possible. I kind of thought the era of SPACs was,

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was behind us, but clearly not. So that part is interesting.

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And then, yeah, I guess, I guess for the, for the more technical developments

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or things around Quantum that have been. Yeah, there's,

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there's not too much that's been. Been extremely surprising, to be frank with you. It's

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been. Maybe it's just because I've been too ingrained in the space and watching things

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evolve at too, too granular of a pace,

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I think. You know, I'm always encouraged to see some of the demonstrations of

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reducing like RSA or these, these logical

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requirements. I think it's a company called Peak. Quantum

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is now estimates that, you know, the amount of logical qubits to break

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or the amount of qubits to break. RSA could be

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under a hundred thousand with their given codes. And so

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that was pretty exciting, I would say. And I haven't done my homework to

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know the exact details on that, but it definitely was, it was

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out of, out of, out of the ordinary for me to see and at a

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scale that was. Is not usually talked about. So that was definitely

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interesting. But yeah, sorry to not give a super great answer

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of what been. Has been like a watershed moment there, I

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guess. Um, yeah, this has

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been fantastic. Really. I mean, I've really,

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really enjoyed it. It's been different conversation but really important for the

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Quantum. Curious to see how they too can get in and they

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too are needed. I think that's very exciting.

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Well, thank you so much for, for this conversation. This is, this is really nice.

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This is great. Love what you guys are doing and, and thanks for having me

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on. Thank you very much. And we'll let our outro music play.

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The multiverse is skanking Skanking in time Black holes

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are wailing in a horn line so fine From Planck scales to planets they're

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connecting the dots Candace and Frank, they're the cosmic

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hot star.

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Quantum podcast, turn it up fast Candace and Frank

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blowing my mind at last Quantum podcast they're breaking

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the mold Science has got beats it's bold

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and it's gold.

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