When Energy Costs More Than Speed – Rethinking Quantum Computing

Welcome to Impact Quantum, the podcast where curiosity meets cutting-edge technology and quantum concepts get untangled for everyone—no physics PhD required. In this episode, hosts Frank La Vigne and Candace Gillhoolley sit down with Clark Alexander, mathematician, quantum thinker, co-founder of Enerjuice, and self-proclaimed flaneur. Together, they dive into the unexpected intersections of quantum computing, artificial intelligence, and the energy markets.

Clark shares insights from his recent experience as a juror at Egypt’s first national quantum hackathon, unpacks the real-world energy demands of quantum hardware, and challenges some industry assumptions about quantum advantage and supremacy. From the complexity of electricity markets and the astonishing mathematics behind power grids to the philosophical depths of algorithmic breakthroughs and cyber security, you’ll get a front-row seat to some spirited debate, practical analogies, and a few SAT-worthy vocabulary words.

Whether you’re fascinated by the future of quantum tech, curious about the energy powering your electric bill, or just want to learn why you can’t build a Lego tower to the moon, this episode delivers sharp opinions, relatable explanations, and just the right amount of existential crisis—perfect for anyone eager to explore where quantum theory meets real-world impact. Grab your coffee and get ready for an illuminating journey across the quantum landscape!

Time Stamps

00:00 “Quantum Computing: Beyond Algorithms”

03:40 Egypt’s First National Quantum Hackathon

08:25 Quantum Computing: Efficiency vs. Precision

10:13 Key Measures in Modern Computing

16:44 Quantum Hardware for Specialized Problem Solving

17:28 Google’s Willow Chip & F1 Insights

23:16 “Quantum Annealing vs. Gate Computing”

24:19 Quantum Annealing and D-Wave’s Specialty

29:46 “Infinite Algorithmic Possibilities”

31:43 “Brilliant Inverse Square Root Trick”

36:43 Clueless: Science Program in Mexico

40:07 Transition to Industrial Mathematics

43:14 MISO: Energy Flow and Pricing

45:59 Electricity Pricing Optimization Challenge

50:24 Understanding Electricity Markets

51:46 Impact Quantum Wrap-Up: Math & Qubits

Transcript
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Welcome back to Impact Quantum, the only podcast where we explore

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the frontier of quantum computing and ask the real

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questions, like how many SAT words can we fit into a single

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episode? I'm your host, Frank Lavine,

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joined as always by the indomitable quantum curious,

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Candice Gilhooly. Today's guest is Clark Alexander,

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a mathematician, quantum thinker, co founder of

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Energuice. No, it's not. A startup selling

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kombucha and self professed flania. If you've ever

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wondered how quantum computing, AI and energy

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markets intersect or how to irritate IBM with a single

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slide, this episode is for you. We'll dive into quantum

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advantage, energy efficiency, and why you can't just

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build a Lego tower to the moon. Expect some strong

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opinions, academic wanderlust, and at least

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three existential crises about your electric bill. Let's

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get into it.

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Hello and welcome back to Impact Quantum, the podcast where we explore the emerging

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industry and field of quantum computing and where you don't need

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to be a physicist, but it does help if you're curious.

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And with me, as always, is the most quantum curious person I

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know, Candace Gooley. How's it going, Candace? It's great. I'm

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really excited to be here today. We are going,

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we're going, it's all good. We're going today to speak with

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Clark Alexander, who is a mathematician and

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he is co founder of Energuice. And it actually sounds

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really exciting, his company. So we're definitely going to be asking him some

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questions about that. Yeah. So welcome to show Clark and tell

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us, tell us all the good things you're up to with Energuice,

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which is a portmanteau of energy and juice.

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And in the virtual green room, we were, we were busting out with the

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SAT vocabulary words. So.

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Right. I like, I like Portmanteau. I once got

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an improv comedy show and they're like, give us some words that were SAT words.

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I was like. Well, we've had two so

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far. There was Flenore, which I was like, the

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only person I've ever heard use that word in public was Nicholas

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Nassim Taleb. And turns out you're familiar with his works.

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And then we had Portmanteau immediately followed. So this is going to be the

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SAT vocabulary word show. So not only we learn about energy

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and quantum computing, but also maybe pick up a new vocabulary word or

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two. But not like in the way when I'm stuck in traffic and my kids

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learn new vocabulary words. Those are different types of vocabulary.

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Well, thank you very much for having me. This

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is exciting. I like to talk about what I'm working on and I like

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talking about quantum computing and how it's affecting industry. And so I think we've landed

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the right place for today. Awesome. So that's a good, that's a

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good segue. Like where are we with industry? Right,

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because we had a guest recently kind of talk about

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how it's going to be an industry by industry type of

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takeover. Not takeover, but it was like it's going to grow industry by industry.

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And he's like, you know, will the airline CEOs care about quantum computing?

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Well, probably not for another 10, 15 years, but if you're in the defense or

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mathematics or even chemistry,

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you're going to care about that in a much shorter time frame.

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Sounds reasonable to me. But what's your take on that?

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Yeah. So I want to pitch back to just one

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week ago I was in Egypt for the first ever national

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hackathon of Egypt. And it was co sponsored by

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Open Quantum Institute, IBM Quantum Quantum,

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the Bibliotheca Alexandrina was there, ICAFE out of

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Netherlands. So Saleem, who you may have talked to, and then

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Yusuf Eldakar were some of the organizers. They had

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invited me to one be a juror on that at that

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hackathon, which was amazing to see the, the progress being made by the

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university students in the, the wider MENA region. And then also

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they had me give a talk. And you know,

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my thing is I follow energy. I was an energy trader a few years ago

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and you know, I work in AI and I work in quantum computing. And right

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now I'm looking at what are the energy limitations of

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quantum computing. So this was, this was my talk. It ruffled a few feathers, but

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it got people actually really thinking about it. So

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sort of to put our listeners in the right mindset, those

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viewing, I love to start with this question. This gets us sort of in the

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right mindset. And the question is this. How tall

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a tower can you build out of Legos? You know,

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like just, just the bricks. Just take a bunch of two by fours. How tall

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can you build that tower? Okay. And if you think about

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this for a few minutes, well, there's, there's kind of two

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obvious answers. There's the math answer which is just keep sticking the bricks together

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for infinity. And then there's the physics answer and you

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start asking, well, can I build this to the

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moon? What happens to gravity? Can I build this

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past geosynchronous orbit? How tall can you actually Build this thing,

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right? Plus wind and like birds flying into it and stuff like that. Like,

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so the, the analogy that we're trying to get here is that there's a math

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answer and there's a physics answer, and in the world, live in this

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sort of mesoscopic world. Here's a good SAT word for you. So

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in the mitoscopic world, this middle thing, the math and physics really agree

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really, really closely. Extremely closely. But

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when we're talking about like galactic style stuff,

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right? How do you measure how far away a star is,

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right? You're not measuring the centimeter. You're

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not measuring, you're measuring this to the nearest like astronomical unit. But you also

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have to consider like how gravity is bending light, right? I mean

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this, this is a very different realm of physics. The mathematics

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is the same, but the physics has actually changed. Now the same

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exact phenomenon happens at the quantum level, right?

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Quantum mechanics has its own set of rules. There's physical rules that are not in

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this world that we live in, right? They're mostly counterintuitive.

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So we have things like the uncertainty principle, right?

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In the, in the, the mat. The big world we live in, we don't

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have to worry about this. And there's, you know, I'll give you a joke, right?

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A friend of mine once said, I got pulled over for speeding.

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And the cop said, do

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you know how fast you were going? And my friend said, no, but I know

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exactly where I was.

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I mean, he was a physicist. And like, that was a really nerdy joke. But

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people who have studied quantum mechanics are like,

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actually that's, that's a good point. But you know, in this world we can know

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how fast we're going and where we are kind of simultaneously, right? There's

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some, some error there. But we're not concerned at 10 to the -35

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electron volt seconds. That's not a, that's not in our

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consciousness, Right, Right. So I mean, the,

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this, this ends up being the point, right? At quantum computing,

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there's this energy scale that we have to consider. There's actually a

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large energy scale and there's a small energy scale.

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And so to, to start with the large energy scale, let's start with the one.

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We kind of understand this, right? How much build, how much energy does it take

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to build a house? How much energy does it take to build a skyscraper? We

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can actually measure that pretty closely, right? So

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I'm looking at, say, these superconducting qubit technologies.

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IBM is maybe the most forward and out there

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according to their Blog. They use a 25 kilowatt

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refrigerator, which they have to run for 96 hours to get

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their qubits cold enough. Now, I gave this talk last

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week and one of the guys from IBM who I

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actually really quite like, he said, I think it's a 50 kilowatt refrigerator.

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Like, okay, that's a lot of energy, right? So let's, let's say 25

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give IBM the benefit of the doubt. Their scientists have figured out some

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extremely awesome refrigeration technology.

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But it's good to be an H. Vac tech, isn't it?

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Sorry, I didn't mean to cut you off. Yeah, yeah, but

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you do the math. It's 2.4 megawatt hours

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of electricity to get to that computation.

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And in this world, we can't ignore that overhead, we can't

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ignore that time overhead, and we can't ignore that energy overhead. And so

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you ask this second question. How much can you get done in four days

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using 25 kilowatt hours of electricity? That's like 400

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laptops running at full tilt, right? For four days.

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Like, can you get a pretty good approximation of

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literally anything running that fast? It's like

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not everything, but an extremely large set of problems you can

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get a good approximation for, right? And so

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I was in a business meeting a few months ago with the

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former head of Renaissance Technologies, and I pitched this question to him,

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right? I can find you an approximate portfolio of stocks

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that you want to trade which will give you, let's say,

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28.1% return. Or I could run for

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four days and I could get you

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return. And he's like, well, I'll take the first one all day, right? By the

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time the, the stock market's already changed in that four days, so

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negative, right? Because you're paying for that in time and volatility,

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right? So what this, this does, this puts us in

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what quantum computers can and cannot do and where they actually are going to be

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advantageous, right? So for me, I like to, I like

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to sort of say exactly what is advantage and what is

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supremacy in the world of quantum computing? I think these words get used a

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lot without like really defining them. So

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I'm going to dig deep into my mathematical self and I'm going to give you

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the definitions and your listeners and viewers can disagree with me all

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they want, and that's totally fine. But from my

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perspective, there's three things that we measure in modern

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computing. There's speed, there's memory.

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And the kids who have studied the beginning computer science algorithms will realize

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you can trade off speed and memory. You can sort a list really, really,

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really fast if you can memorize all of it. Right? So there's a trade off

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there. Okay. But the third one now is really energy,

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right? You look at the large language models

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opening, reopening nuclear facilities, data centers, how much water

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they're like Tulsa, Oklahoma had to go on water restriction a couple of days last

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year to like cool these data centers down. So this is no longer

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this sort of thing we think about at an industrial scale. This is

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the main metric. There's energy, then there's speed,

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then there's memory, right. Or energy and then time and then

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storage. If you want to think of it this way, for me, energy

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is like the prime metric now in quantum

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computing space. I think advantage means that some

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quantum computer chip system

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has outperformed a supercomputer in at least one of these three things,

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even on a specialized task. Okay. And

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Supremacy would mean that a quantum computer is outperforming a

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large, large, large set of problems in all three of these tasks.

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Okay. So advance. We've probably seen

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Willow, probably this Marco Pistoia when he was at

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JP Morgan before, before he joined Ion Ionq.

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They did this certified randomness. I

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think that's advantage. I think that is advantage. They have built a very

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specific chip to outperform in speed.

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Building randomness on a classical computer.

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I'll give them this, right. I think, I think that actually happened

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for Supremacy.

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I think because we have, at the moment, we have

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this huge time and energy overhead, I don't think

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we're actually going to be able to get ahead on time based problems.

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Right. So I've worked in supply chain optimization and I don't have four days

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to cool down a computer. So I can make a decision. I have to make

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the decision 12 hours from now, right? If we have this

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overhead that can't be discounted. And so there's no way a quantum computer can

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actually beat that in time because they have

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this overhead that you can't get around, right. There are physical rules to it. It's

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not like, oh yeah, I have a quantum computer that's just always on, right?

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With that amount of energy, if would. You throw energy into the mix, then yeah,

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that becomes an issue, right? And I was thinking like, well, what if you rotated

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it, right? Like you have one on one cooling? And I was like, well, you're

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still spending. You still have. Absorbing.

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Not absorbing. Yeah. You're still running a lot of energy. Yeah, that's

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right. You know, and a few years ago I was talking, I

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interviewed at Oak Ridge National Lab for their quantum machine learning group and

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they were, they were installing Frontier at that time, which was

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at that time the world's fastest and largest supercomputer. It's now moved to

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second, but when it came online was the most energy efficient per

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computation that had ever been built. And the guy directing

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the building of this computer said, you know why we didn't build it twice as

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big? It's because we couldn't afford the electricity bill. I'm thinking you guys work for

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the doe, right? Right. Seriously, if anyone could, you

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know, sign off on new nuclear reactors and whatnot, like, it'd be them.

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I mean, this is them telling me they couldn't afford the

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electricity bill. So there's some, like this metric has

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like catapulted into like, this is the thing we actually really need to care about.

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Right. At an industrial scale. And, you know, he worked out the math for me.

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Roughly as you square the number of operations, you cube the amount of electricity

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necessary. This is a serious,

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this is a serious problem. It's funny because now you, you pointed something out

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that, so I live between Data Center Alley in Northern

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Virginia, which is Loudoun County, Virginia, which is

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near Dulles Airport. So if you ever fly in a Dulles airport, all those

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buildings are probably data centers and Three

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Mile Island. Right. So one of the big

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controversies here is they want to plow through a lot of farmland and

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like remove, put in a new power line.

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It goes basically straight from the Pennsylvania grid to Virginia.

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And there's going to be, there's a lot of political drama, NIMBY

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type stuff going on. NIMBY meeting, not in my backyard. It's not another

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SAT word really. But.

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But I mean, like, it's like it's serious and it's just like basically

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the way the, there's a lot of shady deals going on where Maryland

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customers are going to have to pay a surcharge for this reliability product project,

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which is the electricity is basically going to go straight over our heads into the

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next state. So I mean, this is a very real problem. Right. And you

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can look, you can look online about, you know, kind

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of stories about, you know, communities

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that have had data centers put in and it wasn't exactly the wonderful

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thing that they were told it was going to be. Right. So like, it's, it's,

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it's interesting to see that. Now this is an issue. Right.

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I long sometimes for the days when nobody cared about computers but other

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computer nerds. Yeah, yeah. I mean I'm

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in, in some ways I make computing great again. Right, right, right,

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right, right. Mpga. That's what we want to do. Make it obscure

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again. Again. I like that.

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Yeah, we got the acronyms going today too. So

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anyway, this, this is where I, where I am about how quantum computing

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is going. I don't think supremacy is in the cards because there's a large

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set of problems that we

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can't either outperform on memory or time. Right. One,

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energy or time memory is not even in the discussion yet. Right.

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Story. Quantum storage is not even in discussion. I know there's a patent on

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qram and I took to Mohammed Zadin who has that patent. I talked to him

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last week and even he's not really a believer in

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quantum memory over performing classical memory ever.

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And he has the patent. Right. So it's not like

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it's not some rando on YouTube. Right, right. This, this is the

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folder I saw the patent itself actually, which was pretty cool. So

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any case, he's, he's not necessarily a believer in this,

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this third one, the memory piece. So

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I think going way back to the earlier point,

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what we're going to have to have is quantum hardware built for

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specialized problem sets in which they can perform an advantage and

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maybe two or three, two of the, two of the metrics that probably be able

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to over forum. I, I see this happening. Right. And

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to give yet another analogy, I was speaking with

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the IEEE subgroup yesterday. We were working on our, our final paper for

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quantum cyber security. And I told them this, that we're, we're discussing

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Google's Willow chip. I'm a big Formula One fan. I've

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been a big Formula One fan for a long time, since 92 actually, Nigel Mansel,

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but you can look that one. Nigel Mansel, my man.

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Weird dude, but good driver in, in modern

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Formula one, they take the cars apart after every race and they

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rebuild them and they sort of rebuild

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them to be advantage, advantageous to the track they're about to race on.

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Right? So this, this is some like really, really, really specialized race car. At each

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track, it looks roughly the same, but they can tilt the front wheel a little

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bit and they can, they can balance the tires a little bit. So if they're

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going to be turning right a lot more than turning left, if there's banked turns

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right. If there's a very, very long straightaway, they'll they'll let

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the, the back wing come down, you know, a tenth of a degree more.

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It's built specifically for the track. Right. They're not

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allowed to memorize the track. That calls the disqualification. A couple years ago with Renault,

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they had memorized the tracking in the brakes

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that caused a disqualification. But they, they build

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the car to, to the specifics of the track for the week. That's legal

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right, to within, to within rules.

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That's the kind of thing I think we're going to see in quantum computing. People

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are going to be building specialized systems to solve specialized problems

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and kick ass at doing this. Right, right now the,

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this where, where we're actually going to see some advantage. You know, again, I

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was sort of jostling back and forth with IBM about this.

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This is. Well, I can solve something that will take 3 million years in 5

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minutes. Okay. If that thing is worth 3 million years of

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advantage, then I give you 4 days, I'll give you 8 days to cool your

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computer down. It doesn't matter. Right, right. But stock trading

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doesn't fall on this thing. But if you're talking about

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improving, we end up speaking about the

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Habermach process for making ammonium. Right. If you're

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improving that by a fraction of a percent, the

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payback is so, so, so enormous over, over just

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a year that that energy usage is going to be wiped out.

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Right. If you're doing something that's like a long term massive energy

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reduction problem and you can solve this faster, that's

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advantage. That's really a thing that has happened. But stock

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trading, supply chain optimization, it just can't. Right? You

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can't, there's, there are like physical barriers which you can't do that.

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Right. So it really has to be for now

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forget nisq. This is like specialized quantum hardware to solve specialized

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problems. And I think, and, and I'm, I'm okay with that. I think that's a,

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that's a really interesting scientific and

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engineering problem to go into like solving. I want to solve this thing

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better than it has ever been solved in history. Right.

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That's, that's a, it's a worthwhile, at least scientific endeavor.

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Well, so I'm the curious one, so I get to ask questions that sometimes seem

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silly. But when you're saying the

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quantum hardware that's able to do this kind of precision,

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why would that not be different kinds of software?

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Like I'm trying to understand the difference as to, as to

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what would allow you to do this

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kind of computation. And I thought that was more of a software thing

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than a hardware thing.

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Well, at this level, at present, they're not really separated.

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Right. Because I think, I think where we are in the world of quantum

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computing is we haven't even decided what a qubit really is.

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Okay. There, there are nine known types

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of. Geez. And,

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and what I'm hearing this is, this is from the IEEE discussions are saying, well,

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each one has its own advantages and disadvantages.

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I mean, so have we decided what a Qubit is? Well, IBM

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has decided what they think a Qubit is, but IonQ has decided something else.

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Right. Because there's, there can be used for different sectors to solve

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different types of problems. Like you have the ion capture and then you have

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the super. You know, when we started learning about qubits and learned there

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were nine different kinds and you know, every time we feel like we've

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got our handle on the information, there's just a little bit more that's

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released that we're like, no, we don't know anything. Two,

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like mathematically there's two types, right? Annealing has these, like these

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wires. Right. So if we're going to talk about topology a little bit,

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the annealing is just like, it's a one dimensional qubit. It has, it's just

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spin, positive or negative spin. And the,

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the neutral atom or

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the trapped ion or the superconducting cubits, they're like

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full electron spin. So the, the annealing 1D wave

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is like an S1. Oh, the circle. And then on the, the

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gate side you have like S3. So a sphere sitting in four

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dimensions. Right. This an S3. Right. So

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even even that technology is like mathematically they're super

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far apart. Even how you program them is different. Right. So it's just like

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the analogy of a punch card computer to

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modern digital computer. Just even that technology is different. So they're going to do

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different things. Although punch cards are not so useful at this

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time. No, I know what you mean. You mean like what's the type of architecture

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we have now? Not von Neumann, but I know what you mean.

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Like the typical. It'll come to

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me later. But speaking of sat. Yeah.

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Computer science, AP terms. But yeah, I know what you mean. Like a traditional,

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what you would call a conventional or classical computer, that type of thing. Punch

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card computer is a little harsh. But, but I know where you're going with

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that. Two types of quantum

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computers are not, it's not that far apart. But you know, I just want to

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make the analogy so that the listener understands that

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annealing and gate computing are really separate technologies and they

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require a separate set of mathematics and a separate set of programming. Right. A

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digital computer is like, or to be reductive, it's a little bit of

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light switches. It's just a whole bunch of light switches, zeros and ones on and

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off. A quantum computer has a fundamentally different set of physics

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and so it needs a fundamentally different set of rules to program. Well,

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annealing and gate computers are also fundamentally different. Like

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topologically, they're a distinguishable type of things.

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So it's not just a new species, it's like a new

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category of species. Right. Like just program

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a gate computer to do an annealing task. They're not the same.

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Okay, so is that why companies like D Wave, they're, they're

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heavy on the annealing side of things and they're, they're more

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commercially around longer and maybe that's an

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easier problem to solve? Well, annealing is,

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you know, kneeling's been around for several thousand years. Right. And so I think

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it right itself In I guess 99 when D wave

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started to say like, yeah, actually we could probably do this quantum

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annealing thing and make, make a specialized thing, right?

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D Wave, D Wave has a specialized solver. It's, it's kind of a one trick

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pony. And I don't say that in a dismissive way like it's an

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amazing trick that it does, but it does a thing it's not going to

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be doing. It's not, you're not going to have a D Wave GPT,

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Right. That's the kind of thing it's going to solve. You're going to have these

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really hard optimization problems which you can pitch as

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binary optimization problems. So special purpose

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computing. Yeah, yeah. And it can solve a

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lot of really, really hard problems or solve or

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approximate very closely a lot of hard problems.

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But it's in a specialized realm, not just a general computer.

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Right. So where do you think

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the first breakthrough is going to happen? True

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breakthrough? Like, is it going to be in precision? Is it going to be in

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pharma with precision medicine? Is it going to

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be in energy with EV batteries? You

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know, is it going to be in finance

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for, you know, what was that? The random number generator?

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Like, what do you think will be the first true

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breakthrough?

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I don't, I don't want to maybe guess because

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what prediction is hard, especially about the future.

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Go more quotes. But I'll say this,

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what I see, you know, I, part of my talk is I, I talked about

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how cyber security is safe from quantum Computers forever and ever and

Speaker:ver and ever. It just is. RSA:Speaker:

quantum computers because of this. There's an energy limit on the bottom. We can talk

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about that later if we want. But they're only

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safe from this particular style of attack.

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Right. This quantum Fourier transform source algorithm is going to top out because

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you have to do this. You have to rotate these

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electrons so little, right. So the

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readout becomes random. It's just noise. Right. You can't, you can't say,

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I'm going to rotate this 10 to the

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that's zero rotation that the rent. The readout will just be random. Okay.

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There's no, there's no way you can produce so little energy to actually make that

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rotation physically meaningful.

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Right. Mathematically, it's fine. Rotate as little as you want. It'll

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work. We've proved Shor's algorithm works mathematically in the 90s.

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Physically, it can't. Right. There's, there's an uncertainty limit there. But

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what, what, what all that does is that tells us

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that the, the path that we're going is going to have some sort of limitation

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when you're trying to get some so specificity, right.

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You're. You're going to run into a limit the way we're doing it

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now. This does not, however, preclude some totally

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other algorithm and totally other way of doing

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things from coming up. Right. Going back to Nassim Taleb, we'll go to

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the Black Swan. Right. Earlier this year,

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Ken Ono, who's an amazing mathematician, he's a number theorist, actually, I

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think was working with Katie Ledecky, the swimmer. They were, they were doing some.

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So he helped her with like, cracking the statistics. But anyway,

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he's, he's a number theorist and he and two of his students,

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Greg and I think Vaughn Iterson, they put a paper this

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year redefining what prime numbers are.

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Hmm. And they said, actually

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we found out that if you take this polynomial and this partition function, partition

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is just the number of ways you can add up a number to get there.

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So five can be added up as four and one. It could add up as

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three and one and one or three and two or two and two and one.

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Right. These are partitions of five. How many partitions of the

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integers there are this polynomial times this partition

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function plus another polynomial times another partition function.

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It works only on primes. It's just this sort of like, magical thing.

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We've been thinking about primes. The Same way since Aristhenes, right.

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2600 years ago. Right. We've been thinking about primes this

Speaker:ime. And now, just this year,:Speaker:

actually there are infinitely many more definitions of primes.

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This is the black swan, right? And so, you know, let's. Let's go, let's. I

Speaker:uote is from The Zero Effect,:Speaker:

Bill Pullman's character says this thing, and even though it's a

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comedy movie, it's so, like, philosophically deep. I kept. It says, if

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you're looking for something, something specific, your chances of finding it are

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very bad because of all the things in the world. But if you're looking for

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anything, anything at all, your chances of finding it are very good

Speaker:

because of all the things in the world. And I think,

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like, this is. This is where we are in quantum computing right now.

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For. For specifically for Internet security.

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Right. Somehow there's. There's a magical way in

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which most technologies have two different sets of competing

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technologies, but Internet security has never been that. It's just been key exchanges.

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Okay? And so factoring large numbers has basically been

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what Internet security is. Well, now you just need one

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algorithm to break any one of infinitely many definitions.

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I'm looking for anyone at all in any way, shape or form.

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I'm not precluding this possibility at all. In fact, the

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chances of this not happening are one in infinity, right? It's going to

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happen, right? This thing is going to happen.

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By whom? I don't know Where. I don't know by what type

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of algorithm, I don't know. But the fact that there are so many

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possibilities now, it opens it up in a way that we haven't

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been thinking about, right? And this, this is brand new. This is four months

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ago that this paper came out, right? So we're. We're

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not there yet. So Internet security,

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maybe at least the. The integer factorization part,

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what I see actually happening, and

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maybe I'll ruffle some feathers here. A good friend of mine I

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went to undergrad with is now at Flatiron Institute. And if you follow Flatiron

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Institute, these are four guys who, they take all

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these claims about, oh, quantum breakthrough happens. Chinese researchers

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have done XY thing that supercomputer could

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never do. And about six months later, they say, actually, we did it on a

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laptop. They've done this like four or five times.

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Flatiron Institute, they do awesome stuff. And

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for me, talking about quantum impact, being on this, like,

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particular podcast is important that the real

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measurable economic impact of quantum computing is

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it is causing these guys like Flatiron Institute and guys like me who work in

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evolutionary programming to rethink what our classical algorithms are

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doing. We are getting better and faster and smarter

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classical algorithms which are costing less energy and less memory

Speaker:

to do better things, to sort of push quantum advantage back.

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This is a quantum inspired algorithms at the.

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Generally the. Okay, some of them are, and some of them are just like,

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oh, you know what, there's this randomization scheme we just weren't looking at,

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right? Some of them are just pure randomized algorithms with

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like a really clever way to do stuff,

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right? Now I give this example, like someone showed me this is the

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slickest line of code I've ever seen. And it was,

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it was for a video game where when you're looking around in a video game,

Speaker:

what they want to do is make the, you know, all the

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vectors are normal. So like when you're looking at the spot, you

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turn around and you look. And what this looks like mathematically is you have to

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take this ray of vision and you normalize it to

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length one. Alright? So going way back to vector analysis,

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you take the vector, you divide it by its length,

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right? So square root of it. And so this guy found this way to

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just take an inverse square root really, really, really fast.

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And the way he did this is basically he got a really good first guess

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and one linear approximation. And that's

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absolutely brilliant. That's what he did. He took a really, really, really good first

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guess. And so this thing can sort of run and it causes much less lag.

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And you can, you can, you can see this happen in like, you know,

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area game. So you, he's reduced the lag across the entire network of

Speaker:

all video gamers worldwide by just this clever,

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right? That's pure, pure classical algorithm. But it was like a really awesome

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randomized first guess. He figured out how to do that,

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right? No quantum nothing. It was just like, oh, if you start

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near the solution, you only have to do a little bit of computation to get

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to the real solution. So some of it is quantum inspired

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algorithms. Absolutely 100%. I work in that sort of area.

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Genetic algorithms, Monte Carlo simulations. I think there's this like

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biased field diagonal cross.

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Optimize something. It's a, it's a terrible acronym that has

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no word to it. But this to me

Speaker:e quantumized version of this:Speaker:

algorithm called MCMCMC. There's three

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MCs which for the listeners will be

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Metropolis coupled Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms,

Speaker:

in case you're wondering. So it's not a rap group from the early 90s, though

Speaker:

it's unfortunate. Not. No, it's not in the native tongue school. Right.

Speaker:

I know Latifah and De La Soul would have put out the album of the

Speaker:

three MCs, but that'd be awesome. And

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it got into like, philology in. In biological

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classifications. But I use this actually for supply chain optimization

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because the point is that instead of just guessing this one spot like

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Monte Carlo algorithms do, it allows you to guess

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many different Monte Carlo algorithms. And so it allows you to

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find multimodal probability distributions a lot

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faster. It converges so much faster. Right. It's just

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pure probability. And I think, I think that actually inspired the quantum

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algorithm for the biased field diagonalization,

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at least to my reading. That's how it looks. Right. So the

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quantum algorithm is classically inspired, not the other way around this time.

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Gotcha. It goes both ways. Right.

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This is a. So you wouldn't have thought of that kind

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of. Naturally, you would not have thought that the classical

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inspired algorithms would. I don't know if the. The authors

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of that algorithm were thinking of it that way, but, you know, having. Having

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used the other. The classical algorithm myself multiple times and,

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and having read their paper, at least to me, it was just like,

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you know, my neurons were lighting up, my neural network was saying, oh, these are

Speaker:

the same algorithm. These are the same algorithm. That's how it

Speaker:

rang to me. They might not have been thinking about that. And that's cool that

Speaker:

they have like a totally unique algorithm. But, you know, I,

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I've, I've seen this algorithm before as a classical thing,

Speaker:

but even, even if they didn't know about it, you know, this same

Speaker:

sort of technique landed. Right. It's like,

Speaker:

it's like the name Soren. Soren is a Persian name, but it's also a Swedish

Speaker:

name. They just sort of landed on the same letters. Right.

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Interesting. That's my take. Could be wrong,

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but that's just how I read it.

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I'd love to just take a little step back if I could. I mean, what

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you do sounds legitimately

Speaker:

fascinating. And you know, what you're uncovering and

Speaker:

you're. You're at the, the frontier of

Speaker:

innovation, you know, I'm going to ask you, like,

Speaker:

walk me through a little bit of your career journey.

Speaker:

That got you. That got you to where you are

Speaker:

right now. Okay.

Speaker:

I hope you guys like random walks because. Oh,

Speaker:

that's all the type of walking I do. Fantastic. Okay.

Speaker:

You'll appreciate this. I've, I've done a couple

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of, I've been to support

Speaker:

this program in Mexico a few times called Clueless. And one of my

Speaker:

former students from Northwestern is one of the founders of this. So he invited me,

Speaker:

said come talk. And, and one of my favorite events at this,

Speaker:

this week, it's like a one week intensive where instructors from Mexico and United

Speaker:

States come and teach like one week intense course on some sort of

Speaker:

science to high school seniors, college freshmen, college sophomores in

Speaker:

Mexico. Right. Because there's a lot of talent coming and they just don't have the

Speaker:

resource that was the point. But Wednesday night of this week,

Speaker:

whenever they do it, they have like the, the Science Cafe and they have the

Speaker:

instructors, me and some professors from University of

Speaker:

Chicago, from Harvard, they come and they ask us questions

Speaker:

and someone asked me about how do I

Speaker:

think about work, life balance, something like this. And I said

Speaker:

whatever you're expecting in the future is wrong.

Speaker:

That's it. But I don't mean start there. Yeah, but

Speaker:

what that means is that some things are going to far exceed

Speaker:

your expectations and some of your expectations will never

Speaker:

even get close. Right. Okay. Right.

Speaker:

So that's, that's kind of, and that's, that's kind of how my life has worked.

Speaker:

So I'll give you like just the really top down overview.

Speaker:I finished my PhD in:Speaker:

geometry and mathematical physics. What I have

Speaker:

learned, reading a lot the last two years is that historiography is a chaotic

Speaker:

system. If you start the story one year earlier, it changes the whole story.

Speaker:So:Speaker:

commutative geometers and mathematical physics. And this was spurred on by Alan

Speaker:

Cohen's idea that he may have solved Riemann hypothesis using these mathematical

Speaker:

physics techniques. There's like this glut of non commutative

Speaker:ing in postdoc positions. The:Speaker:

around and I, I didn't get one of those postdoc positions. I got a teaching

Speaker:

job at Temple University. Go Owls. It was

Speaker:

awesome. But I was going to say at. Least you didn't work for a mortgage

Speaker:

company. So. Right. Well, almost, almost happened.

Speaker:

You know, think, think all it didn't. Right. You'll go randomness all the way.

Speaker:

2008, you may have remembered there was like a massive financial crisis.

Speaker:

So there were a lot of postdocs of three postdocs for three years got

Speaker:

shortened to two postdocs of two years. So I got double

Speaker:

caught up in that. And Then I basically came what

Speaker:

they would call in the sports world the journeyman. I went to southeast India to

Speaker:

Institute of Mathematical Sciences for a year. And then I came back.

Speaker:

A professor had died days before semester was supposed to start, and I

Speaker:

just ended up getting a job at the University of Wisconsin Parkside to fill that.

Speaker:

That was completely random only because I had known someone here in Evanston who was

Speaker:

doing this. I taught there for two years. Then I

Speaker:

landed at DePaul lecturing one year. One year. One year. I was at DePaul

Speaker:

for six years. And then I moved to UIC for a half a semester. And

Speaker:

I never was going to make tenure. Right. That those days had

Speaker:

kind of passed for me in some sense.

Speaker:

And so a friend of mine who I'd gone to Northwestern with had started a

Speaker:

company, and he. He called me and said, clark, I'm doing this

Speaker:

thing in data science, but it's not. It's not traditional data

Speaker:

science. I need some real mathematical firepower, and I don't have it. You want to

Speaker:

come work with me? And he went

Speaker:

to my wife and said, you need to convince Clark to come work with me.

Speaker:

And so my wife said, clark, you need to go work with him.

Speaker:

My friend Rami pulled me out of academia and started me into industrial

Speaker:

mathematics. And I didn't know how to program a computer, and so I learned

Speaker:

there. Rami, unfortunately got sick and he. He died

Speaker:

a few years ago. And so I kind of have made my way

Speaker:

from there. He got sick and then. Then Covid

Speaker:

happened and I left that company and I joined an

Speaker:

electricity trading company through another roundabout connection that I knew from India.

Speaker:

Completely random. A mathematician was like, I want a mathematician to help me trade

Speaker:

electricity. Okay. So I did that. There was a

Speaker:

electrical storm in Texas, you may remember, like, there was an ice storm.

Speaker:

Everyone lost all the money. So my company went under. I lost a job again.

Speaker:

Fantastic. Started just applying

Speaker:

everywhere. That was when I was applying at Oak Ridge. And then I ultimately took

Speaker:

a job at a credit card company that didn't work out

Speaker:

for whatever reasons. And then I joined a logistics

Speaker:

company where aforementioned, my friend Rami was

Speaker:

supposed to be the head of AI, and when he was. When he was

Speaker:

really sick, he had called the CEO and said, hey, you need to take Clark.

Speaker:

And so that's how I landed there. Interesting.

Speaker:

Mentioned a couple of times. Energy trading.

Speaker:

What's the dollar store description of what

Speaker:

energy trading is? I'm not quite sure because I know it comes up a lot.

Speaker:

Usually when there's a crisis, people are suddenly experts on energy

Speaker:

trading, but like the Texas crisis, plus there was some

Speaker:drama in the early:Speaker:

the most infamous energy trading company in the world is still. Enron,

Speaker:

many orders of magnitude. So. Yeah,

Speaker:

well, if you're going to blow up something, blow it up big.

Speaker:

But what, what is energy

Speaker:

trading? I don't quite get it, right. Because like, and this has come up, you

Speaker:

know, I'll tie it back to the issue with Maryland and

Speaker:

Virginia and Pennsylvania, right. Like they're talking about they buy

Speaker:

energy from here and they do that I don't quite understand.

Speaker:

I can understand how the math would work in terms of optimization and

Speaker:

probably what you do, but I don't understand the industry. And I realize this is

Speaker:

the Quantum podcast, not energy trading, but what,

Speaker:

what's like a good two dollar description of. Okay,

Speaker:

fantastic. I'll give you two really easy problems and then I'll tell you why quantum

Speaker:

computing is important. Okay, so good, you're tying it back in.

Speaker:

That actually just happened recently. It'll tie all back in. Great.

Speaker:

So there's, there's two ways the energy trading sort of works, right. The easiest

Speaker:

one is you go to a city, let's say Madison, Wisconsin.

Speaker:

Right. Wisconsin goes to the regional transmission

Speaker:

operator or independent system operator, depends on how they're named. So you've heard maybe

Speaker:

of Caiso, that's California ISO. And then

Speaker:

you've maybe heard of miso, which is where I am, Mid

Speaker:

Continent Independent system operator. So the ISO or the

Speaker:

RTO controls like all the energy flow and it controls the

Speaker:

pricing. So the city of Madison, Wisconsin will say, okay, I want

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to buy, is basically a futures contract. I want to

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buy this many gigawatt hours of electricity

Speaker:

that you give me from January 1st to December 31st

Speaker:

of this year. And I want to pay this much per

Speaker:

kilowatt hour for it ahead of time. And in this way Madison,

Speaker:

Wisconsin can now sell to their residents at

Speaker:

whatever marginally marked up price. Right. So we want to buy it

Speaker:

for 12 cents a kilowatt hour for the entirety of the year. And we're going

Speaker:

to make a deal for, let's say 500 gigawatt hours,

Speaker:

whatever they make, I don't know how much Madison uses. And then so they sell

Speaker:

it to all the, the, the independent

Speaker:

households and the schools and the businesses for 15 cents a kilowatt hour. And that's

Speaker:

just the price of electricity for the whole year. Right. That's one way to do

Speaker:

it. That's a, that's a four year contract. Okay. They make the deal

Speaker:

the one in trading. So you could do that if you're, if you're a

Speaker:

municipality, you trade this way. If you're an individual little brokerage

Speaker:

house, you will say, okay. The ISOs and the

Speaker:

RTOs actually set the price of electricity. And what they do is they say,

Speaker:

okay, 9:00am today, so this is just a few hours ago.

Speaker:

They set the price for tomorrow's electricity

Speaker:

pricing. They set it at 5 or 15 minute increments, depending on where you are.

Speaker:

So say every 15 minutes we're going to charge this much for electricity.

Speaker:

Okay. This is called the day ahead price. Okay.

Speaker:

And so what, what happens is these little traders can come in and say,

Speaker:

okay, actually I think it's going to be less than that.

Speaker:

Okay. It, the real time price is going to be less

Speaker:

than that. So what I'm going to do is buy the real time price now

Speaker:

and sell it at the, the actual. I'm gonna

Speaker:

buy it, buy the day ahead price and sell it at the real time price.

Speaker:

Right. So they make some money. Or you can sell it as like short

Speaker:

selling. Basically you can sell it, you think it's going to be too expensive, you

Speaker:

sell it and then you buy it back at the, the real time price.

Speaker:

Literally. I think this is called day ahead real time. So in, in trading they

Speaker:

call that the DART model D A, R, T. Right? That's,

Speaker:

that's the simplified version. And then there are options, all

Speaker:

sorts of exotic options and, and hedging and

Speaker:

all kinds of stuff. You know, they run it like a hedge fund, except that

Speaker:

the commodity they're trading is time based. Very, very, very strictly time

Speaker:

based. That's how it works. Okay. So you know, Con

Speaker:

Ed is kind of like the supermarket. And then whatever the

Speaker:

supermarket buys their food and their groceries and distributors is

Speaker:

kind of like that, the back office to all of that. Right. And so

Speaker:

the RTOs and ISOs have this question like how do you set the price?

Speaker:

And so what you want to do in. So this is a massive, massive

Speaker:

optimization problem. This is probably the most important, most

Speaker:

worthwhile optimization problem you've never heard of, called the AC opf.

Speaker:

This alternating current, optimal power flow. So

Speaker:

what you want to do if you're making the electricity, if you're a generating plant,

Speaker:

you don't want to just distribute more than you've made and you

Speaker:

don't want to have shortages. So you want to balance best you can

Speaker:

in real time the supply and demand of electricity.

Speaker:

Okay. And this takes into account

Speaker:

congestion. Where there's construction, there are voltage angles, there's

Speaker:

like you know, there's all, all sorts of things, pricing. So if,

Speaker:

if you're a mathematician, this is the most exciting problem because it's non

Speaker:

convex, non linear, time dependent, directed graph,

Speaker:

acyclic graph, cyclic, whatever, whatever non thing you

Speaker:

can think of. This is the problem for you.

Speaker:

Like a 0.1 percentage in improvement. I think I did the, the math on

Speaker:

this. If you improve the efficiency of this solution by 1% and

Speaker:

are actually able to successfully trade on it, it's like a billion dollar a day

Speaker:

benefit. Oh wow. So no wonder why it's

Speaker:

run like a hedge fund. Yes, but like bigger than that. Way, way,

Speaker:

way, way, way. Right. Because the electricity market is

Speaker:

so much bigger than the stock market because everyone uses electricity

Speaker:

all day, every day. Right, right. And it's, it trades on

Speaker:

companies and trades on everything. And there are, there are options and there are municipalities,

Speaker:

there are big players, there are little players. This is a big market. We're talking

Speaker:

like size of 4x. I mean massive, massive market.

Speaker:

So wow. The AC OPF extremely

Speaker:

difficult. The way that people make money is that the, the

Speaker:

optimization is called the D.C. oPF and D.C. oPF is direct

Speaker:

current, optimal power flow and that has a convex solution. So you

Speaker:

can simulate this and solve it very quickly on a digital computer.

Speaker:

You need a supercomputer, but you can solve it quickly. Right. Minutes.

Speaker:

Right. It's a minute solution, not a, not a

Speaker:

millions of years solution. So one of

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the main problems, the ACOPF has sort of sub branches. One is about

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pricing and one is about actual energy delivery. It looks like

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IonQ has recently worked on the unit

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delivery problem. So given a particular

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power plant, where does it deliver its units of energy? I guess they're

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doing them, they're probably scaling them in kilowatt hours. Where does it

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deliver kilowatt hours at 15 minute intervals? That is an

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extremely difficult problem. And it looks like IONQ has tried to

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tackle this at least at a small scale. Right.

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So this might be one of the major breakthroughs. Just the problem is the amount

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of memory needed. I think it will

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overwhelm any quantum computer that currently exists.

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But this might be one of the major things. But

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ACOPF is like worth not a little bit of money,

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is worth a lot of money, extreme amounts of money.

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So wow, this has been interesting and I like the fact that

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this is literally every time you flip the switch, like this is a

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mathematical problem. So kids, if kids are listening,

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math is super important and

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that cannot be said enough. Seriously, Seriously.

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But look at the exciting things. He's doing because

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he started with math. I mean, this is just

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outstanding. Interesting. Like, this

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would captivate any, you know, any Gen Z

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kid out there. Like, you know, you can tell she's Canadian, she lives in Canada.

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She's not. Right? Because I say I born New York,

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born New Yorker, born and bred. But now I say Zed because I'm in Canada.

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Still on Mid continent ISO.

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Honestly, Clark, you've been absolutely fascinating. I've

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loved every second of this and I absolutely want to have you back on

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because I have so many more questions to ask that, that we didn't get to.

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So I, I just, I'm blown away right now. I've learned. I've learned a lot.

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I've learned a lot. And I have to like, digest, you. Know,

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to just the explanation of the electricity

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markets and how they function is worth it because I just. All I remember

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is, oh my God, Enron did all this

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fraud and then you didn't, you didn't hear about it for years

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until everything went sideways in,

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in Texas. It's like, oh, well, the energy companies blame the energy

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traders and blah, blah, blah, blah. These people do this. And I'm like,

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oh, these people again.

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Yeah, yeah. So that was, that was a totally different issue.

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Maybe we can get into that if we, if we go again. Yeah, another time.

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Yeah, yeah, yeah. But where can folks find out more about you and

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what you're up to? Basically, I'm

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mostly on LinkedIn these days, starting another

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venture called Argentum AI, which we're trying to do energy efficiency in.

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In AI training. Right. And we distributed

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training. So Argentum AI is one of my things introduce.

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We're trying to do some projects with the DOE,

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but mostly LinkedIn. I'm. I'm kind of just

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mostly there most of the time. Yeah. And.

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And if you're into soccer, I'm the local soccer commissioner in Evanston, so come out

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and see me on Sunday. Cool. Awesome. That's

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awesome. And we'll let our AI finish the show. And that's a

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wrap on another episode of Impact Quantum, where the topics are dense,

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the qubits are entangled, and the guests are occasionally

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flaneurs. Huge thanks to Clark Alexander for joining

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us today and proving that mathematics isn't just useful,

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it's a passport to energy markets, quantum

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hardware and mildly unsettling jokes about the uncertainty

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principle. If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to, like,

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subscribe or entangle yourself with our past

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interviews. You can find Clark on LinkedIn,

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energuce on the cutting edge of renewable innovation and

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candice trying to remember which qubit type is currently

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trendy. Until next time. Remember, classical

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computing may be fast, but quantum computing has

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better party tricks.

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